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Drawing a Progressive Massachusetts
The goals of this map:1) Strengthen the weakest incumbents: McGovern, Keating 2) Keep Richard Tisei out of Congress 3) Get rid of Stephen Lynch 4) Get rid of John Tierney 5) Give every other incumbent...
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Unicameral California Legislature: Part One
In my opinion, all legislatures should be unicameral, but since I live in California, this is the one I drew. It had 120 seats, which is still lower than I'd probably want, but isn't terrible. For...
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Unicameral California Legislature, Part Two
Part one is here: http://www.dailykos.com/...40th: Brick (EVEN) OPEN Madera, Los Banos, Farm Towns. This is a very rural majority Hispanic district (61%). However, they don't vote in very high...
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Going for Broke: Democratic Ohio
I decided to put my party in charge for Ohio's redistricting in this map. Objectives: give every incumbent a safe district (easy enough to do when there are so few remaining). I managed to cram all...
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A Guess at New Jersey
This map, if all seats were open, would be a 6 D 4 R 2 T map. It combines Garrett and Rothman, which is what's coming out of the rumor mill.This is the statewide view. As you can see, it's cleaner...
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Upstate New York: COI Map
The goal here was simple: avoid studying for my sociology final.Beyond that, the goal was: Buffalo seat Rochester seat Syracuse seat 2 Western New York non Buffalo seats North Country seat Albany seat...
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Meet Virginia: 8-3 Democratic in Good Years
I feel like I've finally perfected my Virginia gerrymander, completed in the waning hours of 2011 (BEFORE I left for a party, I do have a life thank you very much)Here we go. First, the GOP vote...
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Why Bachmann's District is Un-Holdable
Inspired by user bjssp, I've decided to do a diary on why Michele Bachmann's district, while winnable against her, is not a district we can hold in the future.First, her district:By my estimation, the...
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More than Matheson: A Democratic Path Back to Relevance in Utah's State Senate
I decided that Utah Democrats, if they hypothetically controlled the State Senate, which possibly won't happen in my entire lifetime, would decide to draw as many swing seats as possible rather than...
View Article2012 Election Preview with Ratings!
I've decided to finally write a ratings diary for President, Governor, Senate, and House (House will be in Part 2)President:Safe Democratic: 182 EV Likely Democratic: New Mexico, Michigan, Minnesota...
View ArticlePredictions 2012: The House
So it's time for my House projections. SaoMagnifico already did one, but I'd like to do one anyway.First, from reapportionment, the Republicans gained 2 seats, if I calculated correctly. That's...
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French Election Results Map
It's tough to approximate a 2-party system onto the French election.So what I did was add up the totals of Hollande and Melanchon (two major leftist candidates) and create a "Cook PVI" for each region...
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Fair Pennsylvania
For those who haven't read my hypothetical redistricting diaries before, my definition of fair is the following:1) Don't combine rural and non-rural areas unless required 2) Don't combined different...
View ArticleViews on Gay Marriage in the Democratic Caucus: A Brief Primer
With President Obama's announcement that he now support gay marriage (again), I decided to look at a couple things.1) What are House and Senate Democrats' views on gay marriage and civil unions? 2)...
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4-2 Democratic Louisiana
We're never going to have the trifecta here again, but this would be an awesome map. It's also my belief, although obviously courts may rule against me, that LA losing a seat means it is no longer...
View ArticleTime for Some Ratings! Senate and Governor, Take 2
With primary season nearly over, I'm doing an update to my Senate and Gubernatorial Rankings (with my two old rankings' diaries' ratings in parentheses).Safe = 16 point lead or greater Likely = 12...
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Ohio Redistricting: Boehner's Dilemma
I decided to try drawing Ohio. I stuck to COI as best as I could, but made some tweaks based on competitiveness. I'll explain as I go along. 1st: Steve Chabot (R) vs. Fmr. Rep. Steve Dreihaus (D)...
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2008 vs. 2012: PVI Shifts
I decided to look at the 538 rankings and see how the PVIs of states will change compared to 2008 if everything remains the same. This means they are not my predictions.I'm excluding Alaska, Arizona,...
View ArticleHouse Elections, Six Weeks Out
With a possible mini-wave building, here are my predictions for the House. I'm only calling races Safe, Lean, Tilt, or Tossup. Likely has no use this close to Election Day. Parentheses are my ratings...
View ArticleEarly Retirement Predictions for 2014
I have to write this diary prior to Election Day, because retirements start pretty soon after. What I'm going to do is rank every Senator's likelihood of retirement from 1 (no chance) to 5 (almost...
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